Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 12.565798 14.138744 15.904979 18.049650 20.602944 23.570177 27.315859
2025-07-06 10.149969 12.052689 14.355182 17.392004 21.362118 26.479059 33.750757
2025-07-13 9.789931 12.130854 15.139517 19.392009 25.424598 33.972981 47.601394
2025-07-20 9.080811 11.604142 14.993911 20.042650 27.678250 39.369050 59.946006
2025-07-27 8.175369 10.678109 14.148703 19.520473 28.046407 41.912005 68.363686
2025-08-03 7.757962 10.364368 14.100384 20.124276 30.201110 47.736298 84.494620
2025-08-10 7.185248 9.761925 13.548263 19.846984 30.824973 50.995990 96.753427
2025-08-17 6.699577 9.238190 13.051970 19.577718 31.388670 54.231151 110.208284
2025-08-24 6.309378 8.821450 12.674512 19.446744 32.159884 58.028875 126.666729
2025-08-31 5.896743 8.336302 12.141122 18.976139 32.200431 60.289495 140.185022
2025-09-07 5.587559 7.988719 11.798158 18.797728 32.776271 63.864101 159.377868
2025-09-14 5.191573 7.476859 11.142909 17.979443 31.922434 63.909208 167.609579
2025-09-21 4.793342 6.950800 10.448205 17.062593 30.827284 63.373542 174.698882
2025-09-28 4.484809 6.553388 9.946300 16.465783 30.348663 64.343159 188.286059
2025-10-05 4.600018 6.856466 10.672605 18.319953 35.647281 82.412864 288.253406
2025-10-12 4.509286 6.805987 10.766654 18.922412 38.177793 93.748522 375.118182
2025-10-19 4.274049 6.493459 10.360336 18.438998 37.940749 96.347040 417.211040
2025-10-26 4.195944 6.447518 10.440913 18.997943 40.485637 109.327230 551.752912
2025-11-02 4.020067 6.219355 10.162014 18.741307 40.815132 114.613137 641.615858
2025-11-09 3.858005 6.006967 9.898632 18.492009 41.126050 120.031350 748.272432
2025-11-16 3.722258 5.834525 9.700602 18.370715 41.785527 127.223151 898.186029
2025-11-23 3.560161 5.606521 9.379881 17.934713 41.452385 130.143314 1010.413142
2025-11-30 3.438110 5.445753 9.182103 17.769346 41.912378 136.908002 1209.475592